If it holds, this year’s California almond harvest could be a record 2.1 billion pounds of production from a whopping 860,000 bearing acres.

This crop estimate from the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) is 4.5 percent higher than last year’s crop, and 7.7 percent higher than NASS' subjective forecast of 1.95 billion pounds issued in May.

The current production record is 2.03 billion pounds in 2011.

Almond Board of California (ABC) Chairman Bill Harp, a Bakersfield grower, called the likelihood of a record crop, "A testament to the state-of-the-art farming practices and techniques our growers use to minimize water use.”

NASS released its 2014 objective measurement report Monday. The report indicates that while this year’s almond yield per acre may not be quite as large as the 2,540 pounds per acre harvested in 2011 crop, the increased bearing acreage could push the 2014 crop to a new total volume record.

This year’s average yield is expected at 2,440 pounds per acre, which is on target with the thoughts from some crop specialists.

Nut set, according to the survey, is down less than 1 percent. Nut size is reported a bit higher than last year’s harvest.