What is in this article?:
- California raisin crop most valuable in history
- Signs of market challenges
- Growers, packers anxiously waiting for raisins to dry in field.
- As much as 16,000 tons lost to rain valued at $27 million.
- Final tonnage could go lower if more rain falls or reconditioning losses are high.
Raisins drying on continuous trays suffered the most damage because they could not be rolled and protected from the rain. They will have to dry slowly, hopefully without too much more damage.
As much as 50 percent of the California raisin crop was vulnerable to damage when heavy rains hit the valley earlier this month.
Much of that is still in the vineyards, slowly drying in mild fall weather or headed to dehydrators, creating an atmosphere of uncertainty for both growers and packers.
The anxiety is heightened not only by the fact this is the most valuable California raisin crop ever produced, but the eventual crop size will likely make it challenging for the industry to meet demand. The rain was only part of the reason the crop is coming up short. Competition from wineries for green Thompsons cut into the potential raisin supply.
The most valuable raisin crop in history is worth an estimated $500 million, the first time it has reached that mark.
Thousands of tons will require reconditioning to salvage. Barring any more damaging rain or fog, one packer estimates the eventual loss from the rain could be as much as 16,000 tons valued at $27 million. It will go higher — if there is more rain or cold, foggy weather.
Raisin packers, fearful green prices of $265 per ton or more would draw away growers from making much needed raisins, increased the established pre-harvest delivery price from $1,500 per ton to $1,700 per ton in the middle of harvest, trying to stem the flow of Thompson Seedless grapes to wineries. Before the harvest started, wineries set an opening price for Thompsons at $250 per ton.
It was an unprecedented bidding war, and growers were the benefactors.
It will be several weeks before the industry ascertains just how much of the crop was lost to the rains. Many growers rolled what crop they could with a very limited labor supply into paper trays before the rain started and unfurled them when the rain stopped. Raisin Bargaining Association Chief Executive Officer Glen Goto said many growers rolled raisins “heavy” before the rains hit to give partially dried bunches some protection.
“There were a lot of green berries in those rolls that had to be opened up after the rain. That put a lot of extra cost into an already expensive crop to farm,” said Goto.
Growers who harvested the grapes on continuous trays to dry could do little but watch the widespread rain totaling half inch to 1 inch from Merced to Delano soak the drying grapes.
With the rain, dehydrators stopped making Golden raisins and began drying Dried-on-the Vine (DOV) trellised raisins. DOV raisins are difficult to dry in the field and often are taken to dehydrators to finish drying down, even in a normal year. That was only exacerbated during this late, cooler, wet year.
Growers with rain-dampened raisins have little choice to leave them in the field to dry. “The drying time becomes substantially longer when temperatures are in the 70s and 80s versus the 90s to 100s we saw in September before the fall weather moved in,” said Goto.
Unless growers have time slotted at the dehydrator, there is nothing to do but wait. High moisture raisins cannot be rolled and stored in bins because they would rot in the wooden sweatboxes.