What is in this article?:
- Scientists are predicting the world’s population could increase from 6 billion to 9 billion by 2050.
- Producing enough food to feed those is one of the topics at this year’s World Food Prize Borlaug Dialogue in Des Moines, Iowa.
- The Farm Foundation and Global Harvest Initiative released a study at the Borlaug Dialogue that shows world productivity growth is not on a pace to keep up with demand.
If the world’s farmers are to grow enough food to feed 9 billion people by the year 2050, they’d better get a move on.
A study released at the World Food Prize’s Borlaug Dialogue in Des Moines, Iowa, Oct. 13, says the growth rate of agricultural productivity is lagging behind that needed to feed an additional 3 billion people.
The Global Harvest Initiative’s 2010 GAP Report, developed with the Farm Foundation and USDA’s Economic Research Service, was designed to gauge the pace of global agricultural productivity growth against future needs for food.
Doubling agricultural output to meet global demand by 2050 will require and annual average growth of at least 1.75 percent in total factor productivity, according to Neil Conklin, president of the Farm Foundation and author of the report. USDA economists estimate global agricultural TFP growth averaged 1.4 percent per year between 2000 and 2007.