Farm Press Blog

Investor an agriculture prophet or alarmist?

RSS

Table of Contents:

  • Cassandras and Pollyannas abound when making predictions about agriculture. The trick is deciding who is right. Risk. Risk. Risk.

If agriculture commodity stocks continue to grow, will a price decline be significant? Grantham sounds a commodity warning: “They came down for a hundred years by an average of 70 percent, and then starting around 2002, they shot up and basically everything tripled — and I mean, everything … They've given back a hundred years of price decline and they gave it back between '02 and '08, in six years. The game has changed. I suspect the game changed because of the ridiculous growth rates in China — such a large country, with 1.3 billion people using 45 percent of the coal used in the world, 50 percent of all the cement and 40 percent of all the copper. I mean these are numbers that you can't keep on rolling along without expecting something to go tilt.”

One thing is certain: Cassandras and Pollyannas abound when making predictions about agriculture. The trick is deciding who is right.

Risk. Risk. Risk.

 

Follow me on Twitter: @CBennett71

Email me: cbennett@farmpress.com

 

Blog archive

One honey heist to rule them all

Agriculture and ecology clash over badger cull

Honey bees to rent? Demand will only grow

EPA using guns, body armor to enforce Clean Water Act?

Regulating ourselves to death

PETA blames genital size on chicken wings

Death on the farm a grim reality of agriculture

Water the commodity gold of 21st century?

Brad Kelley, the farm boy with 1 million acres

Discuss this Blog Entry 0

Post new comment
or register to use your Western Farm Press ID
What's Farm Press Blog?

The Farm Press Daily Blog

Connect With Us

Blog Archive
Continuing Education Courses
Sponsored by Monsanto, this accredited Weed Resistance Management CEU gives an overview of...
New Course
The Federal Organic Foods Production Act set standards for both growers and consumers, and the...
New Course
Mites are small arthropods in the class Arachnida and the subclass Acari. Although they are...

Sponsored Introduction Continue on to (or wait seconds) ×